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2024 Vol.18, Issue 2 Preview Page

Research Article

An Exploratory Study on Reproduction Number Estimation using Wells-Riley Equation and Behavioral Scenarios of an Infector

감염자 행동 시나리오와 Wells-Riley Equation를 이용한 감염재생산지수 예측 가능성에 대한 탐색적 연구

Chang-Heon Cheong1*
정 창헌1*
1Professor, School of Architectural Engineering, Gyeongsang National University, Jinju, Korea
1경상국립대학교 건축공학부 교수
*Corresponding Author
30 April 2024. pp. 139-151
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Abstract

This study proposed and reviewed a method for calculating the infection reproduction index using a behavior pattern scenario of an infected person and the Wells-Riley equation. Accordingly, the real-time reproduction number was calculated assuming the daily behavior pattern scenario of infected office workers. As a result, the results of calculating the change in real-time infection reproduction number using the model suggested in this study show similar patterns to the value of infection cases in the Daegu and Gyeongbuk region using Cori’s methodology in previous studies. Based on this, it is thought that the reproduction number can be roughly calculated by using Wells-Riley equation and behavioral pattern scenario of infector. However, due to the limited data available through domestic research literature, a comparative review was conducted at the level of a simple snapshot. Therefore, there is a limitation in that additional verification is needed to generalize the research results in the future. In addition, in future research, we plan to conduct research on various topics, such as improving this model, supplementing input conditions, and building standard people model.

Keywords
Airborne infection
Wells-Riley equation
Reproduction number
Building environmental factors
Occupants’ behaviour
키워드
공기전파감염
Wells-Riley 수식
감염재생산지수
건축환경인자
재실자 행동
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Information
  • Publisher :Korean Institute of Architectural Sustainable Environment and Building Systems
  • Publisher(Ko) :한국건축친환경설비학회
  • Journal Title :Journal of Korean Institute of Architectural Sustainable Environment and Building Systems
  • Journal Title(Ko) :한국건축친환경설비학회논문집
  • Volume : 18
  • No :2
  • Pages :139-151
  • Received Date : 2024-03-27
  • Revised Date : 2024-04-10
  • Accepted Date : 2024-04-16
  • DOI :https://doi.org/10.22696/jkiaebs.20240013
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